Stable bond yields and central bank doubts lead to stability for fixed and variable options
May 8, 2014: Toronto, Ontario – May will bring flowers – but there’s no growth in store for the Canadian cost of borrowing. Stable bond yields and a competitive spring market lead to status quo for fixed mortgage rates in the short term. Variable mortgage rates, however, aren’t to change until 2016 as exports and inflation remain below the Bank of Canada’s forecast.
Fixed Mortgage Rates: Unchanged
The busy spring buying season is in full swing, prompting lenders to stay competitive with their rates, as Canadian buyers snap up homes in droves. This is supported by stability among government bond yields, which have not fluctuated enough to warrant any pressure placed on fixed rates in the short term.
Variable Mortgage Rates: Unchanged
Central interest rates won’t rise until 2016, according to the Bank of Canada’s top man himself, Stephen Poloz. Lower-than-expected export activity and steep retail competition continue to depress inflation growth, the required driver behind a potential rate rise. Lowering rates isn’t likely, as the Bank feels credit is cheap enough – household debt levels continue to grow amid such accessible borrowing costs.
This month’s panel members:
Ron Butler, Mortgage Broker, Verico Butler Mortgage
Will Dunning, Chief Economist, CAAMP; President, Will Dunning Inc.
Dan Eisner, MBA. AMP. President, True North Mortgage
Dr. Ian Lee, Program Director, Sprott School of Business, Carleton University
Kelvin Mangaroo, President, RateSupermarket.ca
Click here to read the full May Mortgage Rate Outlook Panel>
This post is also available in: French