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Archive for the ‘Mortgages’ Category

Bank of Canada Expected to Hold Off on Rate Increase

Thursday, September 2nd, 2010

RateSupermarket.ca’s panel of financial gurus expect mortgage rates will remain level during September

TORONTO, Sept 2, 2010… RateSupermarket.ca, consumers go-to shop for comparing Canadian mortgage rates offered by banks, mortgage brokers, and credit unions, has announced the results of their Mortgage Rate Outlook Panel for September 2010.

Canadians should expect both fixed and variable mortgage rates to hold steady in September.

Fixed mortgage rates: Unchanged (with downward bias)

Canadian consumers were handed a treat when fixed mortgage rates dropped back down to historic low levels in August. Our Panel of experts believe September will be very similar with a small possibility of further downward movement.

Increasing concern in both Canada and the US on the strength of an economic recovery has dampened the Canadian bond market and put a lid on fixed mortgage rates for the time being. As well, banks are fighting for fewer new mortgage clients as housing sales slow down, and with less borrowers out there the competition will heat up; a perfect environment for price cutting.

Variable mortgage rates: Unchanged

We’ve seen economic predictions change very quickly over the past few months and it’s happened again. The Bank of Canada was widely expected to increase rates once more next week and then pause while they reviewed the impact of these hikes. However, recent news about slower economic growth and lower inflation is giving Governor Mark Carney good reason to not increase interest rates, and our Panel expects variable mortgage rates to stay where they are.

To read all the detailed commentary from our panel members, please visit:

http://www.ratesupermarket.ca/mortgage_rate_outlook_panel/

About the Mortgage Rate Outlook Panel

The panel includes some of the country’s top mortgage experts, and helps Canadian consumers make informed decisions by offering a short-term outlook for fixed and variable mortgage rates.

This month’s panel members:

  • Dan Eisner, MBA. AMP. President, Verico True North Mortgage
  • Dr. Ian Lee, Director of MBA Program, Sprott School of Business, Carleton University
  • Elisseos Iriotakis, B.Comm, CFP, FMA, AMP, President SAFEBRIDGE Financial Group
  • George Hugh, Vice President, Treasury, ING DIRECT
  • Larry MacDonald, Economist, business journalist and author, Canadian Business
  • About RateSupermarket.ca (www.ratesupermarket.ca)

    RateSupermarket.ca is an independent, impartial resource that is not affiliated with any mortgage lender or broker. It is the only resource in Canada that allows visitors to compare the whole mortgage market in the country. RateSupermarket.ca also compares insurance products, credit cards and GIC rates.

    Mortgage Insurance 101

    Friday, August 27th, 2010

    mortgage insurance

    Congratulations – your new mortgage contract has been signed.

    After the task of researching mortgage rates, speaking to a mortgage expert, weighing the options for fixed versus variable, length of term and payment schedules, gathering the appropriate documents and negotiating the details, you can now sit-back relax and forget about your debt for another 3-5 years.

    Well, not exactly. Don’t start brushing your new mortgage under the rug just yet. There is one more very important piece to the mortgage puzzle that should not be forgotten – mortgage insurance.

    After your mortgage has been approved, you should consider protecting yourself against the event that you are unable to make your payments. It’s natural not to want to think about this, but if something were to happen, you and your family will be glad you did.

    To navigate the tricky world of mortgage insurance, we’re talking to Craig Ferguson, a licensed insurance broker with over 20 years of experience. He has a wealth of knowledge and hates to see Canadian consumers get taken advantage of by insurance agents selling unnecessary or overpriced products. We like his style.

    RSM: Thanks for talking with us Craig. Why don’t you start off by telling us about the difference between default insurance and mortgage insurance?

    Craig: When it comes to insurance, the terms alone can be confusing enough! Mortgage loan insurance or mortgage default insurance is typically required by lenders when you are buying a home or looking for mortgage refinancing and have less than a 20% down payment based on the property’s value. Mortgage insurance is typically offered by your bank or lender and it’s a form of mortgage protection if you are unable to pay your mortgage.

    The bottom line is both products protect the lender, not the borrower’s family. There are other products out there, such as mortgage life insurance coverage that can better protect the borrower.

    RSM: Can you tell us a bit more about the specific downfalls of mortgage insurance?

    Craig: Well, I think there are 3 main points to cover here. Firstly, it’s expensive; second, you may need to re-qualify more often then you think; and finally, the application form leaves room for errors that could have serious consequences. Let’s look at each of theses issues in turn.

    Mortgage insurance is expensive for a variety of reasons, one being the potential length of risk. If a plan covers 25 years versus say ten, the risk to the insurer is greater, and is reflected in a much higher cost. Given that the most common amortization period for a first time mortgage is 25 years, most people will take out a mortgage insurance plan that covers that period of time. It may seem great to have a 25 year plan, but reality does not match theory.

    For the second point, the argument often made for mortgage insurance is that it will cover the outstanding mortgage balance for the duration of the mortgage. But this may not be the case.

    In today’s economic climate, the odds of staying with one lender and/or one mortgage are unlikely. When a mortgage loan is paid off, renegotiated or refinanced, the mortgage insurance terminates at that point, and the borrower is faced with the challenge of re-qualifying for the coverage again. This is the case even if they were to stay with the same lender!

    This presents the issue of increasing rates upon mortgage refinancing, and no protection if health issues make re-qualifying a problem.

    And the final issue, since mortgage insurance is designed as an “easy application” product, it may only have six to ten very loaded health questions. Should the applicant answer “no” by mistake, when he/she should have answered “yes”, it could result in a claim being denied. And, this is why you hear of so many stories of mortgage insurance not paying out.

    RSM: So what should consumers do in order to protect their mortgage?

    Craig: A product that addresses all of the fallbacks of mortgage insurance is life insurance. This can be a cheaper alternative to mortgage insurance and offer additional benefits.

    RSM: What are the benefits of life insurance?

    Craig: The main benefit of life insurance is money when needed. It’s as simple as that. Other benefits include:

  • The beneficiary can decide what they want to do with the money, i.e. it doesn’t need to go against the mortgage, unlike mortgage insurance
  • Discounts are available based on your health and your family history
  • Premiums are taxed at a much lower rate
  • It’s more flexible – you can change mortgage lenders and take the coverage with you if you move homes or you can convert a term policy into a permanent policy.
  • Policy terms don’t change and in most cases the policy premiums are guaranteed
  • That’s just to name a few.

    RSM: At what stage should someone look at protecting their mortgage? And how much coverage should they look to purchase?

    Craig: This question is a good one, but shouldn’t it really be: at what stage should a person look to ensure protection of his or her family? It’s often a myth to assume a paid off mortgage results in easy street.

    For example, let’s say we have a husband and wife, both working, and pulling in equal shares of income (not uncommon in today’s society). Let’s assume net after tax income is $5,000 per month.

    Say their mortgage payment is $1000 per month, representing only 20% of the family’s net income. But usually, at the end of that month, there is little left over (again, not uncommon in today’s society). This would suggest that the loss of a loved one representing 50% of the family’s money each month would not be satisfied with the removal of only $1000 of total expenses. Where’s the other $1,500 coming from?

    There’s a reason the banks operate on debt ratios – they understand that there are greater expenses than a mortgage that a family needs to consider. The banks and lenders act responsibly, but do we as borrowers think the same way?

    You could look at covering the mortgage, or you could look at how much insurance is really needed. Most often, term insurance is a low cost way to not only save money over the cost of mortgage insurance through the lender, but the best bang for your buck to ensure your families lifestyle is protected.

    And the time for this is really “yesterday”.

    RSM: What is the difference between whole and term life insurance? And which option is best?

    Craig: Whole Life insurance is designed to provide coverage for life, with, usually a guaranteed premium, but that is not always the case. Term insurance, provides coverage for set periods with a guaranteed premium (say for 10 or 20 years), and a guaranteed renewal premium at a higher rate. But, most term plans are flexible because they also allow for “conversion” to a whole life plan without providing a health check at that time. The rate will then be the rates for the age at conversion to the permanent (whole life) plan.

    Which should you choose? It really boils down to need first, solution second.

    For example, a doctor has at his disposal a prescription pad, and can order any drug he chooses for a given patient. Do all patients get prescribed the same drugs? Of course not.

    The doctor should first assess the patient’s health, determine where it hurts, and look to provide a long-term goal to address the health issues.

    Similarly, the insurance broker must assess the financial risk of the client. He must determine the amount of life insurance needed to cover off a good percentage of income over time (usually to retirement), and also consider pension fulfillment needs, which we should discuss more, perhaps in another session.

    People without drug coverage need to pay out of their own pocket, and doctors usually make decisions on what to prescribe based on ability of the patient to pay the bill. The same consideration should be made for life insurance.

    First, the amount of insurance to protect the client should be determined, and only then should the affordability of the plan type be addressed.

    In my experience, based on need, clients that have mortgages, families and several years to retirement, should look at the lower cost, higher payout of term life insurance. And in most cases a ten year term is a good option.

    RSM: So a ten year term policy is the best option?

    Craig: It is important to understand that insurance needs change as life changes. For that reason, the average life insurance plan, whether bought as whole life or term tends to change every 5 to 7 years.

    The extra premium paid to the insurer during that period (if the term was longer than what you held the plan for) would be lost. So the best option is to buy the plan that best represents the closest term before your needs change.

    If you’ve had a whole life plan or say a 20 year term plan and have changed to another plan of insurance then you are a case in point. The additional premiums that you paid could have gone towards paying down your mortgage.

    RSM: What health checks are required for life insurance coverage?

    Craig: When you apply for a personal life insurance plan, the insurance company will ensure your health is good by conducting a form of checks and balances. They will often order a doctor’s report if there are any grey areas and also cross-reference the answers to the application. Depending on age and amount applied for, there will be a nurse called to perform other tests and ask questions related to health history. Additional health or avocation questionnaires will also be used to paint the proper picture. The process is relatively painless yet thorough in ensuring full disclosure.

    The insurer is more likely to challenge the applicant up front for health conditions that may not even be known to the applicant, but in doing so, this ensures that at claim time there is little to be challenged. Often the insurer will suggest results are sent to the family doctor to be discussed and dealt with. A mini-physical is a complimentary byproduct for those that refuse to visit the doctor regularly.

    Very important to the integrity of the process, there is less likelihood that the applicant’s answers alone will form the basis for the contract. That is the protection you want, trust me! I like to call it being put through the ringer for your own good. The technical term is called pre-claims underwriting.

    Creditor/mortgage insurance is riskier because the process looks more closely at you only at claim time. The term is aptly named post-claims underwriting. It’s unfair to challenge insurability after the fact. Despite the fact that premiums have been paid in good faith, the coverage your family relies on may be at risk of not being there.

    RSM: What types of questions do you recommend consumers ask an insurance agent before they make a purchase?

    Craig: The first and most important is to ensure the agent can justify the reason for the amount of insurance suggested.

    Second, did the agent take into account other insurance already in force, and make recommendations as to why they should be kept, or why they should be discontinued.

    Third, and this is off topic but an important part of insurance planning, did the agent consider what would happen if you live? In other words, what if you were to become disabled? Is the agent concerned with ensuring your income will continue in all circumstances, disability or death?

    If you’ve found a good insurance agent, you should expect to pull out all of your insurance documents including employee benefit books and pension statements.

    Insurance selling should be in direct proportion to insurance planning.

    RSM: Thanks for your insights Craig!

    Next time, RateSupermarket.ca will talk to Craig about insurance requirements for the self employed.

    Craig Ferguson Insurance Services has been providing Individual & Group Insurance solutions since 1991.

    RBC, TD & CIBC Lower Fixed Mortgage Rates by 0.10%

    Tuesday, August 24th, 2010

    happy_couple_champagne

    Mortgage shoppers have even more reason to celebrate this month as fixed mortgage rates have dropped again. For the 4th time in the past month many of the big banks including RBC, TD and CIBC have dropped their 4 and 5 year fixed rates by 0.10%.

    Fixed rates are heading lower as their main influence, Government bond yields, continue to dive as the benchmark 5 year bond yield is down 5.3% just today to 2.028 at 10.30am on August 24, 2008. With the spread between bond yields and fixed mortgage rates increasing, looking at historic spreads, there is room for fixed rates to fall even further.

    Interestingly, RBC and TD only issued press releases saying their discounted fixed rates were heading lower while the posted 5 year fixed rates were decreased on their websites.

    Could this be a shift where the big banks start to advertise more based on rate? The first signs of this was a few months back when BMO had a big marketing where they were proactively advertising their 5 year discounted 5 year fixed rate in print, TV etc. This was a change in direction for a of big bank mortgage lender to advertise on rate. Another change in strategic direction is CIBC’s now long-running campaign incentivizing home owners to ‘Switch’ to CIBC with higher air miles and cash back.

    Where customer loyalty is the ultimate goal amongst the big banks pushing for a greater ‘share of customer’s wallet’, CIBC actively asking customers to switch shows a change in direction in the market and hopefully a change in Canadian consumer behaviour. Many home owners can save money by simply comparing the market and seeing what other offers are out there to access lower mortgage rates and we hope to help this trend continue.

    Here are the latest fixed mortgage rate changes:

    RBC fixed mortgage rates changes

  • Four-year closed 5.04%, -0.10%
  • Five-year closed 5.39%, -0.10%
  • TD fixed mortgage rates changes

  • Four-year closed 5.04%, -0.10%
  • Five-year closed 5.39%, -0.10%
  • CIBC fixed mortgage rates changes

  • Four-year closed 5.04%, -0.10%
  • Five-year closed 5.39%, -0.10%
  • You can compare mortgage rates here to see how these stand against brokers and credit unions.

    Big Bank Fixed Mortgage Rates Drop Again In August

    Tuesday, August 17th, 2010

    Lower fixed mortgage rates

    Well some good news today for first time home buyers and home owners as fixed mortgage rates dropped again as RBC, CIBC, Scotiabank and Laurentian Bank announced the latest mortgage rate changes of -0.10% for most fixed rates. These new lower rates take effect today, August 17, 2010.

    This comes on the heels of the latest CREA report that showed national home sales and house prices declined significantly last month. Seasonally adjusted home sales activity across Canada declined 6.8% from June and down 30% than July 2009.The Prairies and Quebec were level while BC (-14%) and Ontario (-8%) accounted for 85% of the change across the country.

    Year to date transactions are still up 5.6% compared to the first 7 months of 2009, although it’s believed that many transactions were brought forward due to HST in BC & Ontario as well as lower mortgage rates. This gap is expected to close and eventually decline through the rest of the year. CREA’s President commented, “Activity may remain at lower levels for some time, but ultimately we expect a more stable market to emerge, with demand coming back into line with economic fundamentals.”

    Average home prices in Canada in July 2010 was $330,351 (+1% year on year) edging up one% from the same month last year.
    Supply has also increased based on the number of months of inventory it would take to sell houses listed on MLS based on the current sales rate, as this stands at 7 months last month which is up from 4.5 months last year.

    Fixed mortgage rates are heading lower as Government of Canada bond yields have been declining recently. We’ve seen the benchmark 5 year bond yield drop by 14% in the past month and 6.6% just in August.

    You can read about what our Mortgage Rate Outlook Panel of experts believe mortgage rate trends are heading.

    Here’s a run down of the updated rates by bank:

    RBC fixed mortgage rates changes

  • 2 year closed 3.55% (-0.10%)
  • 3 year closed 4.10% (-0.10%)
  • 4 year closed 5.14% (-0.10%)
  • 5 year closed 5.49% (-0.10%)
  • 7 year closed 6.45% (-0.10%)
  • Ten-year closed 6.60% (-0.10%)
  • CIBC fixed mortgage rates changes

  • 2 year closed 3.55% (-0.10%)
  • 3 year closed 4.20% (-0.10%)
  • 4 year closed 5.14% (-0.10%)
  • 5 year closed 5.49% (-0.10%)
  • 7 year closed 6.55% (-0.10%)
  • 10-year closed 6.60% (-0.10%)
  • Scotiabank fixed mortgage rates changes

  • 3 year closed 4.40% (-0.10%)
  • 4 year closed 5.14% (-0.10%)
  • 5 year closed 5.49% (-0.10%)
  • 7 year closed 6.40% (-0.10%)
  • You can these bank compare mortgage rates against the rest of the market here.

    RBC Lowers Fixed Mortgage Rates By 0.10%

    Tuesday, August 3rd, 2010

    rbc head office

    RBC announced today that they’re dropping their fixed mortgage rates by 0.10%, which is effective for tomorrow August 4, 2010. This brings down their benchmark posted 5 year fixed mortgage rate to 5.59%. This rate decrease is mainly in response to the drop in the five government bond yield of almost 8% just in the past week. We expect the other major mortgage lenders to follow suit later this week.

    We saw the best five year fixed mortgage rate for a quick close (ie. the deal must close within 45 days) drop to 3.89% this week as well.

    Here is the full list of all the fixed rate decreases

    Fixed mortgage rates

    New rate

    % change

    Six-month convertible

    4.55%

    (- 0.10 % )

    One-year closed 

    3.30%

    (- 0.10 % )

    Two-year closed 

    3.65%

    (- 0.10 % )

    Three-year closed 

    4.20%

    (- 0.10 % )

    Four-year closed 

    5.24%

    (- 0.10 % )

    Five-year closed 

    5.59%

    (- 0.10 % )

    Seven-year closed 

    6.55%

    (- 0.10 % )

    Ten-year closed 

    6.70%

    (- 0.10 % )

    You can check to find the lowest 5 year fixed rates in your local here.

    Canadian Banks Increase Prime Rates

    Thursday, July 22nd, 2010

    The big Canadian banks including RBC, TD, CIBC, Scotiabank and BMO all increased their Prime lending rates as expected by 0.25% to 2.75%, effective July 21, after the Bank of Canada’s rate hike earlier in th week.

    Variable mortgage rates have gone up as well, including those offered by brokers, as previously the best mortgage rate for a 5 year variable closed was 1.75% and this has now increased to 2.00% (see below).

    Prime & variable mortgage rates update

    * as of July 21, 2010

    Lender or broker

    Prime rate

    Change (%)

    Variable mortgage rate

    Change (%)

    Get details

    2.75%

    +0.25%

    2.00%

    +0.25%

    2.75%

    +0.25%

    2.60%

    +0.25%

    2.75%

    +0.25%

    2.60%

    +0.25%

    2.75%

    +0.25%

    2.60%

    +0.25%

    2.75%

    +0.25%

    2.35%
    * current special offer

    0%

    You can compare variable mortgage rates near you here now.

    Bank of Canada Increases Interest Rates By 0.25% As Expected

    Tuesday, July 20th, 2010

    The Bank of Canada did as expected today and announced it is increasing the target for the overnight rate by 0.25% to 0.75%. There was some debate earlier in the month whether the central bank would actually continue increasing interest rates, but after the strong job report that was released mid-month announcing that a record number of jobs were created in June, it became apparent that Bank Governor Mark Carney, now had strong justification to increase rates again.

    Some key items in the release included:

    Globally

  • Global economic recovery is proceeding but is not yet self-sustaining
  • Greater emphasis on balance sheet repair by households, banks, and governments around the world is expected to reduce global growth then the Bank originally believed back in April
  • The response to the European debt crisis, or Greece’s debt crisis, has reduced the risk of it blowing out of proportion, but it will slow down global growth
  • US consumer demand is increasing but is still not driving growth
  • In Canada

  • Economic activity in Canada is proceeding largely as expected mainly due to government stimulus and consumer spending
  • Housing activity is declining markedly from high levels, as the Bank believes that ultra low interest rates brought forward housing demand from this year into late last year and earlier in 2010, so we could see a continued slow down through the rest of the year
  • Despite the latest jobs report for June 2010 stating that employment growth has resumed, business investment still has resumed to previous levels as there is so much global uncertainty at the moment
  • The Bank of Canada expects economic recovery in Canada to be slower than originally thought in April, and is now expected as follows:
    • 2010: 3.5%
    • 2011: 2.9%
    • 2012: 2.2%
  • Inflation seems to be under control, and is expected to remain around the target 2%, however, they will keep an eye on whether HST introductions in BC & Ontario will lead to inflation in the short term
  • The economy is expected to recover to full capacity towards the end of 2011 rather than Q2 2011 as thought in April
  • They then closed the announcement with a warning that:

    Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic developments.

    This means that another rate hike at the next meeting on September 8th, 2010, is not guaranteed. They will have to see how the Canadian economy is fairing along with the rest of the world, and some economists believe they may ‘pause’ rate hikes to see the effects of previous increases thus far.

    What this means for variable mortgage holders, is that your variable mortgage rates will increase by 0.25% tomorrow.

    Keep in mind that the Bank of Canada’s key interest rate doesn’t directly affect fixed mortgage rates, they’re affected by bond yields, and after the last announcement we actually saw fixed mortgage rates come down as bond yields decreased.

    You can compare how this announcement has affected the latest variable mortgage rates here.

    July 2010 Update – Mortgage Rate Outlook

    Thursday, July 15th, 2010

    In our continuing effort  to provide the most useful information to mortgage shoppers across the country we set up our Mortgage Rate Outlook Panel that includes top financial experts providing their detailed commentary on the short term mortgage rate trends which “takes into account current market conditions on the day it is released”. This is the first month that a big surprise announcement has changed the fundamentals of our Panel’s decision, and we have decided to publish an update.

    When our initial July Mortgage Rate Outlook was released on July 7th many economists were on the fence about whether the Bank of Canada would increase interest rates at their next July 20th rate announcement as there was more talk about a double dip recession than anything else.  That all changed when Statistics Canada released their Jobs Report for June.  The results were a shock to economists across the board.  The number of new jobs created in June hit a staggering 93,200.  To put it into perspective, this is almost 5 times higher than what most analysts were calling for and it means that we have largely recouping the job losses sustained in Canada during the recent economic meltdown. 

    These new jobs push our unemployment rate down 0.2% points to 7.9% . Making it the first time the rate has been below 8%  since January 2009.

    For those that warned of a double dip recession, some believe that the Jobs Report will convince analysts otherwise. Canada may well be out of the woods.

    This is just the type of ‘new information’ that will quickly outdate any outlook or forecast, including our Mortgage Rate Outlook Panel.  At the beginning of the month, 4 out of 5 of our panel members predicted that variable mortgage rates would remain level in July – now that doesn’t seem likely – and the Oulook for variable rates has been updated to ‘Up’.

    July ’10 Panel consensus

    Updated: July 14th

    Fixed

    Unchanged

    Variable

    Up

    Economists had expected 20,000 jobs gains in June for Canada, and prior to Friday’s release roughly a 60%  chance of a rate increase when the Bank of Canada meets next week.  Now the odds are sitting at well above that.

    All of the big banks are now predicting a rate hike, meaning that variable mortgage rates will go up.  A rate increase of 0.25%  will put the key lending rate at 0.75% , and likely raise the Prime rate to 2.75% .

     

    Worries still exist about Europe’s debt troubles and a very slow recovery for the United States, but it seems that Canada is flying high enough on its own to justify higher interest rates.

    Garth Turner, one of our Mortgage Rate Outlook Panel members, also expects rates to increase now:

    “The latest jobs report is comforting for those who found work, but largely meaningless as an economic event.  Half the positions were part-time. A good chunk of the full-time jobs fell into the nebulous ‘self-employed’ category. And this could be the G20 jobs effect at work – temporary positions as governments threw around $1 billion building fences and welding person hole covers.

    It will require two or three months of boffo jobs data before fundamental views change. However, the Bank of Canada is looking for every excuse it can get to normalize rates. This is one.”

    While another one Mortgage Rate Outlook Panel member, Dan Eisner, believes there is now a “60%  chance” the Bank of Canada will increase rates now.

    We hope this update will help those shopping for a mortgage in the next week and will publish an update on July 20th. 

    Other stats about the Jobs Report:

    • Employment increases were evenly split between full and part time in June.
    • Since July 2009, most of the employment gains have been in full-time work, up 355,000 or 2.6% , while part-time work rose by 1.5% .
    • Virtually all of June’s employment gains were in Ontario (+60,000) and Quebec (+30,000).
    • There were job declines in Newfoundland and Labrador and New Brunswick.
    • There was little employment change in all other provinces.
    • To view the full report, click here

    Canadian Mortgage Statistics & Market Share Results Released

    Wednesday, July 14th, 2010

    The CMHC released their latest Housing and Marketing Information report on Mortgage Lending 2009.

    It provides some great information on the volumes of mortgages issued by banks and other lenders as well as the market share for CMHC approved mortgages in 2009. Here are some of the stats:

    NHA and Conventional Mortgage Loans Approved by Lending Institutions, by Type of Lender

    Period Banks Others Total

    New Residential Construction

    1999 $11,195,284,000 $2,285,876,000 $13,481,160,000
    2000 $10,619,537,000 $3,017,298,000 $13,636,835,000
    2001 $13,082,179,000 $3,523,321,000 $16,605,500,000
    2002 $17,880,582,000 $4,840,239,000 $22,720,821,000
    2003 $18,865,216,000 $3,840,488,000 $22,705,704,000
    2004 $20,237,034,000 $4,773,580,000 $25,010,614,000
    2005 $21,118,007,000 $6,005,024,000 $27,123,031,000
    2006 $20,078,465,000 $6,230,075,000 $26,308,540,000
    2007 $19,855,773,000 $6,280,345,000 $26,136,118,000
    2008 $19,354,243,000 $7,064,267,000 $26,418,510,000
    2009 $23,125,767,000 $7,964,326,000 $31,090,093,000

    Existing Residential Property

    1999 $49,033,338,000 $15,806,709,000 $64,840,047,000
    2000 $43,597,393,000 $17,690,996,000 $61,288,389,000
    2001 $64,504,603,000 $14,071,468,000 $78,576,071,000
    2002 $79,646,654,000 $17,945,083,000 $97,591,737,000
    2003 $95,498,391,000 $19,684,386,000 $115,182,777,000
    2004 $113,957,835,000 $25,198,554,000 $139,156,389,000
    2005 $124,718,731,000 $30,314,807,000 $155,033,538,000
    2006 $132,516,805,000 $30,601,768,000 $163,118,573,000
    2007 $153,182,662,000 $39,200,059,000 $192,382,721,000
    2008 $141,488,060,000 $47,734,160,000 $189,222,220,000
    2009 $158,100,253,000 $55,241,223,000 $213,341,476,000

    Non-Residential Property

    1999 $1,401,575,000 $1,043,594,000 $2,445,169,000
    2000 $1,593,240,000 $954,577,000 $2,547,817,000
    2001 $1,467,250,000 $757,755,000 $2,225,005,000
    2002 $1,262,657,000 $626,885,000 $1,889,542,000
    2003 $1,296,687,000 $1,869,383,000 $3,166,070,000
    2004 $1,353,218,000 $184,963,000 $1,538,181,000
    2005 $1,566,028,000 $215,014,000 $1,781,042,000
    2006 $1,928,700,000 $234,733,000 $2,163,433,000
    2007 $2,444,298,000 $753,864,000 $3,198,162,000
    2008 $2,889,432,000 $1,133,583,000 $4,023,015,000
    2009 $2,086,753,000 $726,376,000 $2,813,129,000

    Total

    1999 $61,630,197,000 $19,136,179,000 $80,766,376,000
    2000 $55,810,170,000 $21,662,871,000 $77,473,041,000
    2001 $79,054,032,000 $18,352,544,000 $97,406,576,000
    2002 $98,789,893,000 $23,412,207,000 $122,202,100,000
    2003 $115,660,294,000 $25,394,257,000 $141,054,551,000
    2004 $135,548,087,000 $30,157,097,000 $165,705,184,000
    2005 $147,402,766,000 $36,534,845,000 $183,937,611,000
    2006 $154,523,970,000 $37,066,576,000 $191,590,546,000
    2007 $175,482,733,000 $46,234,268,000 $221,717,001,000
    2008 $163,731,735,000 $55,932,010,000 $219,663,745,000
    2009 $183,312,773,000 $63,931,925,000 $247,244,698,000

    Other includes: credit unions, caisses populaires, other smaller institutions and privately-insured loans in some areas.

    From this data we can see that:

  • Bank market share for conventional mortgage loans across the different categories was 74% versus 26% for ‘other types’ such as credit unions
  • The volume of mortgage loans approved in 2009 grew by 13% overall over the previous year and added up to a whopping $27B
  • NHA and Conventional Mortgage Loans Approved by Lending Institutions, by Type of Lender (Dwelling Units)

    Period  Banks   Others   Total 

    New Residential Construction

    1999 82,902 23,017 105,919
    2000 75,119 23,652 98,771
    2001 84,515 26,477 110,992
    2002 105,139 33,877 139,016
    2003 107,590 25,463 133,053
    2004 106,007 29,391 135,398
    2005 102,347 33,172 135,519
    2006 88,206 36,564 124,770
    2007 80,475 32,116 112,591
    2008 72,456 33,147 105,603
    2009 84,076 34,681 118,757

    Existing Residential Property

    1999 516,681 192,334 709,015
    2000 457,357 209,927 667,284
    2001 629,347 182,935 812,282
    2002 719,976 195,451 915,427
    2003 771,333 204,883 976,216
    2004 855,989 244,093 1,100,082
    2005 867,668 256,496 1,124,164
    2006 850,917 245,078 1,095,995
    2007 901,289 276,796 1,178,085
    2008 797,539 320,585 1,118,124
    2009 881,425 350,132 1,231,557

    Total

    1999 599,583 215,351 814,934
    2000 532,476 233,579 766,055
    2001 713,862 209,412 923,274
    2002 825,115 229,328 1,054,443
    2003 878,923 230,346 1,109,269
    2004 961,996 273,484 1,235,480
    2005 970,015 289,668 1,259,683
    2006 939,123 281,642 1,220,765
    2007 981,764 308,912 1,290,676
    2008 869,995 353,732 1,223,727
    2009 965,501 384,813 1,350,314

    Other includes: credit unions, caisses populaires, other smaller institutions and privately-insured loans in some areas.

    From this data we can see that:

  • Bank market share for the number of units across the different categories was 71% versus 29% for ‘other types’ such as credit unions
  • The number of dwellings that banks provided mortgages for increased 11% in 2009 over the previous year vs 9% for “Others”
  • Average NHA and Conventional Mortgage Loans Approved by Lending Institutions, by Type of Lender

    If we then take the loan values divided by the number of units we can look at the average loan values as follows.

    Period  Banks   Others   Total 

    New Residential Construction

    1999 $135,042 $99,313 $127,278
    2000 $141,370 $127,571 $138,065
    2001 $154,791 $133,071 $149,610
    2002 $170,066 $142,877 $163,440
    2003 $175,344 $150,826 $170,652
    2004 $190,903 $162,416 $184,719
    2005 $206,337 $181,027 $200,142
    2006 $227,632 $170,388 $210,856
    2007 $246,732 $195,552 $232,133
    2008 $267,117 $213,119 $250,168
    2009 $275,058 $229,645 $261,796

    Existing Residential Property

    1999 $94,901 $82,184 $91,451
    2000 $95,325 $84,272 $91,848
    2001 $102,494 $76,921 $96,735
    2002 $110,624 $91,814 $106,608
    2003 $123,810 $96,076 $117,989
    2004 $133,130 $103,233 $126,496
    2005 $143,740 $118,188 $137,910
    2006 $155,734 $124,865 $148,831
    2007 $169,960 $141,621 $163,301
    2008 $177,406 $148,897 $169,232
    2009 $179,369 $157,773 $173,229

    Total

    1999 $102,788 $88,860 $99,108
    2000 $104,813 $92,743 $101,132
    2001 $110,741 $87,638 $105,501
    2002 $119,729 $102,090 $115,893
    2003 $131,593 $110,244 $127,160
    2004 $140,903 $110,270 $134,122
    2005 $151,959 $126,127 $146,019
    2006 $164,541 $131,609 $156,943
    2007 $178,742 $149,668 $171,784
    2008 $188,198 $158,120 $179,504
    2009 $189,863 $166,138 $183,102
  • Interestingly for New Residential Construction the bank average loan was 20% higher than other institutions in 2009
  • Average loans for existing residential property and for both types was 14% higher for banks as well
  • ‘Other’ average loan values for New Residential Construction grew 8% 2009/2008 vs 3% for banks
  • ‘Other’ average loan values for Existing Residential Construction grew 6% 2009/2008 vs 1% for banks
  • ‘Other’ average loan values for both types grew 5% 2009/2008 vs 1% for banks
  • Residential Mortgage Credit by Lending Institutions, 1984-2009

    The report also included interesting data on the volumes of mortgages issued by the different lenders.

    Period Life companies Chartered banks Trust and loan companies Credit unions & caisses populaires Special purpose corps NHA mortgage-backed securities Finance  Companies, Non-Depository Credit Intermediaries and Other Institutions

    Pension funds Total
    1984 10,666 33,634 31,335 16,000 13,556 6,527 111,717
    1985 10,850 37,456 33,798 17,272 13,445 6,362 119,183
    1986 11,413 44,654 38,353 19,515 13,736 6,485 134,157
    1987 12,309 54,988 45,214 22,608 194 14,557 6,781 156,651
    1988 12,894 68,434 52,869 25,995 756 17,169 7,275 185,391
    1989 13,621 81,705 62,913 28,216 2,031 18,453 7,578 214,517
    1990 16,001 96,503 70,606 30,655 4,083 19,569 7,864 245,281
    1991 17,592 107,682 71,546 33,959 6,163 20,770 7,926 265,638
    1992 19,279 121,107 69,346 38,593 9,534 22,381 7,693 287,933
    1993 19,835 142,559 57,678 41,909 14,483 25,198 8,073 309,735
    1994 20,621 164,977 44,898 44,414 16,824 29,708 8,185 329,627
    1995 21,148 177,062 41,954 46,169 68 17,387 29,953 8,007 341,748
    1996 21,719 191,357 39,748 48,231 1,064 15,755 30,415 7,724 356,012
    1997 21,374 213,531 31,538 50,768 4,733 14,518 31,591 7,997 376,050
    1998 20,024 232,194 22,373 52,198 10,951 17,893 31,521 7,857 395,010
    1999 18,076 240,997 19,948 53,321 18,701 23,484 29,798 7,948 412,273
    2000 17,773 262,143 6,111 55,443 22,516 30,760 28,090 8,653 431,489
    2001 17,254 279,144 5,204 57,992 18,097 34,556 26,847 9,257 448,349
    2002 16,755 306,602 5,505 63,331 15,002 39,318 26,045 9,037 481,596
    2003 15,781 329,502 5,988 69,143 14,958 49,850 26,472 9,133 520,825
    2004 15,383 352,373 6,753 76,614 14,878 68,471 27,486 9,621 571,579
    2005 14,720 377,998 7,877 84,562 16,490 86,979 28,837 10,604 628,066
    2006 14,574 405,605 7,901 93,731 21,147 109,590 30,985 11,740 695,272
    2007 14,803 442,116 8,502 102,507 24,886 138,130 31,492 13,238 775,674
    2008 15,340 469,576 9,839 110,435 22,702 197,260 30,688 15,309 871,148
    2009 15,395 450,940 10,321 117,334 16,979 281,433 28,274 15,761 936,435

    Residential Mortgage Credit by Lending Institutions, 1984-2009, Market share

    We can also look at their market share over the years:

    Period Life companies Chartered banks Trust and loan companies Credit unions & caisses populaires Special purpose corps NHA mortgage-backed securities Finance  Companies, Non-Depository Credit Intermediaries and Other Institutions

    Pension funds Total
    1984 10% 30% 28% 14% 12% 6% 100%
    1985 9% 31% 28% 14% 11% 5% 100%
    1986 9% 33% 29% 15% 10% 5% 100%
    1987 8% 35% 29% 14% 0% 9% 4% 100%
    1988 7% 37% 29% 14% 0% 9% 4% 100%
    1989 6% 38% 29% 13% 1% 9% 4% 100%
    1990 7% 39% 29% 12% 2% 8% 3% 100%
    1991 7% 41% 27% 13% 2% 8% 3% 100%
    1992 7% 42% 24% 13% 3% 8% 3% 100%
    1993 6% 46% 19% 14% 5% 8% 3% 100%
    1994 6% 50% 14% 13% 5% 9% 2% 100%
    1995 6% 52% 12% 14% 0% 5% 9% 2% 100%
    1996 6% 54% 11% 14% 0% 4% 9% 2% 100%
    1997 6% 57% 8% 14% 1% 4% 8% 2% 100%
    1998 5% 59% 6% 13% 3% 5% 8% 2% 100%
    1999 4% 58% 5% 13% 5% 6% 7% 2% 100%
    2000 4% 61% 1% 13% 5% 7% 7% 2% 100%
    2001 4% 62% 1% 13% 4% 8% 6% 2% 100%
    2002 3% 64% 1% 13% 3% 8% 5% 2% 100%
    2003 3% 63% 1% 13% 3% 10% 5% 2% 100%
    2004 3% 62% 1% 13% 3% 12% 5% 2% 100%
    2005 2% 60% 1% 13% 3% 14% 5% 2% 100%
    2006 2% 58% 1% 13% 3% 16% 4% 2% 100%
    2007 2% 57% 1% 13% 3% 18% 4% 2% 100%
    2008 2% 54% 1% 13% 3% 23% 4% 2% 100%
    2009 2% 48% 1% 13% 2% 30% 3% 2% 100%

    You can see that this table shows that the Chartered Bank’s market share dropped 6% year over year in 2009. Also the chart below shows the market in 1999

    Versus the market in 2009, as the Chartered Bank’s market share dropped 10%

    No July Bank of Canada Interest Rate Increase

    Tuesday, July 6th, 2010

    RateSupermarket.ca’s panel of financial experts believes that variable mortgage rates will stay level while fixed mortgage rates could fluctuate slightly during July

    TORONTO, July 7, 2010… RateSupermarket.ca, Canada’s independent mortgage rates comparison website, has announced the results of their Mortgage Rate Outlook Panel for July 2010.

    Global economic uncertainty may dampen consumer confidence and cause Canadians additional stress during the summer holidays, but it also means that the Bank of Canada will not increase mortgage rates on July 20th resulting in unchanged variable mortgage rates in the short term.

    Fixed mortgage rates: Unchanged

    As the five year bond yield sags due to uncertainly about growth prospects in Canada and around the world, our Panel believes fixed mortgage rates could fluctuate by +/-0.10% in July but will effectively stay where they are for the time being.

    The Bank of Canada’s next Monetary Policy Report is due on July 22nd, and this should give a better indication of the level of uncertainly in the market. A strong demand for residential mortgages by lenders is also stated as a key driver for keeping fixed rates level.

    Variable mortgage rates: Unchanged

    There’s a saying that when a storm is brewing it’s best to sit tight, and that’s just what our experts think the Bank of Canada will do at their next interest rate meeting at the end of July. Given an expected dip in Canadian consumer spending, widespread unemployment in the US and Europe, global fears of deflation, and debt levels that are threatening to put whole countries out of business – there’s just too much going on right now to justify a rate increase.

    In this environment, the Bank of Canada is unlikely to increase interest rates in July, so variable mortgage rates will remain unchanged.

    To read all the detailed commentary from our panel members, please visit:

    http://www.ratesupermarket.ca/mortgage_rate_outlook_panel/

    About the Mortgage Rate Outlook Panel

    The panel includes some of the country’s top mortgage experts, and helps Canadian consumers make informed decisions by offering a short-term outlook for fixed and variable mortgage rates.

    This month’s panel members:

  • Dan Eisner, MBA. AMP. President, Verico True North Mortgage
  • Dr. Ian Lee, Director of MBA Program, Sprott School of Business, Carleton University
  • George Hugh, Vice President, Treasury, ING DIRECT
  • Gregory Klump, Chief Economist, Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA)
  • Garth Turner, Noted Canadian Author, Columnist, Speaker and Financial Commentator, Former MP
  • About RateSupermarket.ca (http://www.ratesupermarket.ca/)

    RateSupermarket.ca is an independent, impartial resource that is not affiliated with any mortgage lender or broker. It is the only resource in Canada that allows visitors to compare the whole mortgage market in the country. RateSupermarket.ca also compares insurance products, credit cards and GIC rates.


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